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Thursday, September 19, 2024

MNF Week 2: Falcons-Eagles Preview, Props, Prediction


NFL: Philadelphia Eagles OTAMight 30, 2024; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) arms off to working again Saquon Barkley (26) throughout observe at NovaCare Advanced. Necessary Credit score: Invoice Streicher-Imagn Pictures

The Atlanta Falcons will probably be hoping for a dramatic turnaround from their Week 1 debacle with a go to to the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Evening Soccer.

Philadelphia has had Atlanta’s quantity in recent times, profitable 4 of the final 5 towards the Falcons.

However new Falcons quarterback Kirk Cousins has a profitable document towards the Eagles (6-5). Cousins has struggled on “Monday Evening Soccer” with a document of 3-10. Alternatively, Jalen Hurts is 4-4 on MNF, together with a 24-7 win over Cousins when he was with the Vikings (Week 2, 2022).

Odds and Tendencies

Philadelphia opened as only a 4.5-point residence favourite regardless of their sturdy efficiency in Week 1 vs. the Packers. Nevertheless it did not take lengthy for the road to maneuver. Bettors can nonetheless discover the Eagles at -5.5, whereas Atlanta’s supporters can discover the Eagles at +6.5.

The Eagles and Falcons final met in Week 1 of the 2021 season, a recreation Philadelphia gained 32-6. However Hurts and Cousins final confronted off in 2023 when Cousins was with the Vikings in Week 2 (Thursday Evening Soccer). Cousins threw for 364 yards and 4 touchdowns, however Hurts bought the win 34-28.

Given how video games unfolded Week 1, it comes as no shock that the general public is getting behind Philly. At BetMGM, 82 % of the purpose unfold tickets, and 88 % of the cash is on the Eagles.

However, in response to an business common, 47 % of unfold tickets are on Philadelphia and 53 % on Atlanta. Moneyline bets closely favor the Eagles, with 92 % of the deal with and 95 % of tickets.

Nevertheless, bettors are comparatively break up relating to the overall: 56 % of the cash and 48 % of tickets on the OVER (44 % and 52 % on the UNDER).

Current historical past has favored the house workforce on MNF, 59-43, during the last 5 years. Nevertheless, betting on the visiting workforce wasn’t a foul thought; they went 53-45-4 ATS. Favorites have gone 67-37 SU and 45-55-4 ATS since 2018.

Prop Picks

–Saquon Barkley, 2+ Touchdowns, +270 at FanDuel: He had three towards the Packers in Week 1, two dashing and one receiving. It appeared like new OC Kellen Moore will profit from his working again (whereas he is wholesome), particularly close to the objective line. There isn’t a worth in betting on his anytime odds, however it might not be stunning to see him get two vs. the Falcons.

–Jalen Hurts, O/U 39.5 Yards Speeding, -113/-113 at FanDuel: Operating the ball is a part of the explanation Hurts is such a harmful QB. However Kellen Moore appeared reluctant to name designed runs for Hurts in Week 1. On a number of of his 13 carries didn’t go for a lot since he appeared for somebody to throw to so long as he may.

With Barkley out there to do the soiled work within the run recreation, anticipate much less from Hurts. Take the UNDER.

Key Stats

Cousins is 12-20 in primetime video games and 3-10 on MNF. Nevertheless, whereas his win-loss document shouldn’t be good, he has been. He ranks twelfth in passer ranking out of the 64 quarterbacks which have tried 500+ passes in primetime video games.

The Information

Expectations have been excessive for the Atlanta Falcons coming into the season. With talent place gamers like Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts, and Drake London, many seen them as a workforce that wanted competent quarterback play to succeed.

Enter Kirk Cousins.

Whereas his groups haven’t seen a lot postseason success, his capacity to get the ball shifting on offense is simple, particularly within the passing recreation. He performed six seasons with the Vikings, beginning 15+ in his first 5. In these 5, he threw for 4,000+ yards in 4.

His finest season might have been his first. He made historical past by changing into the primary quarterback in NFL historical past to finish 70 % of his passes for 30 touchdowns and 4,000+ yards with ten interceptions (or fewer).

Followers in Atlanta most likely hoped that will be the man they’d see in Week 1. The offense sputtered as Cousins accomplished 16 of 26 passes for 155 yards and a landing. He was sacked twice and threw two interceptions because the Falcons misplaced to the Steelers 18-10.

Whereas it’s no comfort, there have been a number of mitigating components. Week 1 was his first recreation again after lacking the second half of the 2023 season with a torn Achilles. It was his first recreation on a brand new workforce, in a brand new offense with a brand new offensive coordinator, a brand new middle, and new talent place gamers.

Due to his restoration, he didn’t have sufficient time to develop the extent of familiarity essential to play nicely on Sunday. However there’s a shiny aspect for Falcons followers — Cousins and the offense can solely get higher.

Can they enhance sufficient to be aggressive with the Eagles tonight?

Damage Report

Each groups have dominated out gamers for Monday night time’s tilt. Hurts will probably be with out his No. 1 vast receiver, A.J Brown (hamstring). Atlanta is not going to have cornerback Antonio Hamilton Sr. (groin) and linebacker Nate Landman (calf, quadriceps). Eagles receiver Johnny Wilson is listed as questionable.

Prediction

If Cousins and the Atlanta offense have been clicking on all cylinders, this might be a aggressive recreation. Nevertheless, rising pains are anticipated, which ought to hold expectations low for the Falcons’ offense.

With out the offense giving them a break, the protection will get worn out after getting a heavy dose of Saquon Barkley. Hurts will miss Brown, however the Eagles have loads of gifted weapons at his disposal.

Prediction: Eagles 28, Falcons 13

–Subject Stage Media

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